Clouds and spotty showers are in the offing this weekend, ahead of possible drenching rain and gusty winds from Karen.
High temperatures in the 60s to lower 70s will continue around the region through Monday. Spotty showers will be around each day, but most of the time will be rain free.
However, two weather systems have a chance at bringing a dose of heavy rain from later Monday night into Tuesday.
A front from the Plains is forecast to sweep off the East coast later Tuesday. Ahead of the front, showers and thunderstorms are in store with a strong southerly flow of moisture.
Surviving within that flow may be Karen as a tropical rainstorm.
If Karen's rain does make the trip this far north, it would raise the possibility of flash and urban flooding, as well as travel delays, most likely Tuesday morning.
Most areas could easily handle a couple of inches of rain over a 6- to 12-hour period with few problems as the last general thorough soaking was Sept. 22. There is a chance of heavier rainfall if Karen gets totally involved.
Southerly winds ahead of and during the rain may be rather strong and gusty Monday and Monday night. Tides may run a foot or two above published values especially along the coast of Rhode Island and Connecticut.
Some areas near and just east of the track of the center of circulation of Karen could be hit with a severe thunderstorm Monday night into early Tuesday.
The air behind the front and/or Karen next week will be cooler than this week, but not abnormally so. Temperatures will still average near to above normal for the rest of next week.
Severe weather, including the risk of flash flooding and a few tornadoes, will continue into Memorial Day weekend.
Tropical moisture may put outdoor Memorial Day plans in jeopardy from Washington D.C., to Boston on Monday.
As millions prepare to take part in Memorial Day weekend events, showers, storms and a potential tropical system could threaten outdoor activities and travel plans during the extended weekend.
Tropical Depression Two has developed northeast of the Bahamas and will approach the southeastern coast of the United States with downpours, building surf and an increasing breeze during Memorial Day weekend.
South East England will face rain threaten to ruin Monday's bank holiday, while the rest of the United Kingdom enjoys another mostly dry and mild day.
Violent storms whirled through the central United States this week, spawning large tornadoes on multiple days.
Jarrell, TX (1997)
F5 tornado obliterated most of town. Twister was 3/4 mile wide. Cattle were thrown 1/4 mile. About 30 people were killed.
Great James River flood; 150 lives lost in Richmond area.
St. Louis, MO (1896)
Great St. Louis tornado; 306 killed, $13 million damage.