AccuWeather meteorologists are monitoring a disturbance near the Bahamas for a brief window of potential tropical development.
A weak area of low pressure has developed at the surface, according to AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Frank Strait. However, thunderstorms are all located on the east side due to high wind shear that has been preventing the disturbance from developing into an organized tropical system thus far.
Satellite loop of Bahamas disturbance from NOAA.
The low will not likely develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm until thunderstorms wrap around the center of the low and help it to gain additional strengthen. There is a brief window over the next 24-36 hours, where wind shear may relax just enough for this to happen.
"There is some chance the low level circulation center could wrap up similar to what we just observed with Oscar," AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski said.
The next name on the list for the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season is Patty.
Any tropical development will have to occur quickly by Tuesday evening before wind shear is expected to become even stronger.
"Beyond that, we expect the southwest shear to be even stronger, which will create too much of a vertically tilted storm system," Kottlowski added.
The Bahamas, Bermuda and shipping interests should keep a close eye on this disturbance. With a trough over the eastern U.S., the system would likely get steered away from the U.S.
See how far away severe thunderstorms are as we monitor the severe weather with these radar images.
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While there is a threat for a shower in spots in Baltimore, Md., today, it will not be a washout like the day of the Kentucky Derby.
Boston, MA (2007)
1.72 inches of rain, a record for the date (old record: 1.09 inches in 2002)
Ft. Lauderdale, (1973)
DC-9 crashes in a heavy thunderstorm, injuring three people.
Pueblo, CO (1996)
99 degrees, hottest ever so early in the season.