AccuWeather meteorologists are monitoring a disturbance near the Bahamas for a brief window of potential tropical development.
A weak area of low pressure has developed at the surface, according to AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Frank Strait. However, thunderstorms are all located on the east side due to high wind shear that has been preventing the disturbance from developing into an organized tropical system thus far.
Satellite loop of Bahamas disturbance from NOAA.
The low will not likely develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm until thunderstorms wrap around the center of the low and help it to gain additional strengthen. There is a brief window over the next 24-36 hours, where wind shear may relax just enough for this to happen.
"There is some chance the low level circulation center could wrap up similar to what we just observed with Oscar," AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski said.
The next name on the list for the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season is Patty.
Any tropical development will have to occur quickly by Tuesday evening before wind shear is expected to become even stronger.
"Beyond that, we expect the southwest shear to be even stronger, which will create too much of a vertically tilted storm system," Kottlowski added.
The Bahamas, Bermuda and shipping interests should keep a close eye on this disturbance. With a trough over the eastern U.S., the system would likely get steered away from the U.S.
A rain-free weekend is in store for the New York City area, ahead of a surge of warmth for the middle part of next week.
Tropical Cyclone Nilofar could threaten areas from the southern Arabian Peninsula to northwestern India next week.
Rain will continue to fall and heighten concerns for flooding across southeastern Europe into Sunday.
Heat building across central South America this weekend will set the stage for adverse weather next week.
After many locations over the Plains feel like late summer this weekend, the record-challenging warmth will expand to the Northeast next week.
A siege of Pacific storms will continue to drench and blast the coastal Northwest into next week and will be joined by Ana.
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19 consecutive days of measurable precipitation.
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"The 25th day of Oct., 1758, a very stormy day of snow, the 26th snowed all day, storm held from Friday night until Saturday morning." by Ebeneser Byles, Town Clerk of Ashford.
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