Bahamas Low Has Brief Window to Develop Tropically

By , Meteorologist
October 9, 2012; 5:51 PM ET
Share |
Play video A look at the tropics and what is going on in the Atlantic.

AccuWeather meteorologists are monitoring a disturbance near the Bahamas for a brief window of potential tropical development.

A weak area of low pressure has developed at the surface, according to AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Frank Strait. However, thunderstorms are all located on the east side due to high wind shear that has been preventing the disturbance from developing into an organized tropical system thus far.

Satellite loop of Bahamas disturbance from NOAA.

The low will not likely develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm until thunderstorms wrap around the center of the low and help it to gain additional strengthen. There is a brief window over the next 24-36 hours, where wind shear may relax just enough for this to happen.

"There is some chance the low level circulation center could wrap up similar to what we just observed with Oscar," AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski said.

The next name on the list for the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season is Patty.

Any tropical development will have to occur quickly by Tuesday evening before wind shear is expected to become even stronger.

"Beyond that, we expect the southwest shear to be even stronger, which will create too much of a vertically tilted storm system," Kottlowski added.

The Bahamas, Bermuda and shipping interests should keep a close eye on this disturbance. With a trough over the eastern U.S., the system would likely get steered away from the U.S.

Comments

Comments left here should adhere to the AccuWeather.com Community Guidelines. Profanity, personal attacks, and spam will not be tolerated.

More Weather News

  • Rain, Storms to Soak Gulf Coast

    August 29, 2014; 4:51 AM ET

    A disturbance over the Gulf of Mexico will deliver rain to the coast of Texas on Friday before expanding over the lower Mississippi Valley this weekend.

Loading...

Daily U.S. Extremes

past 24 hours

  Extreme Location
High N/A
Low N/A
Precip N/A

WeatherWhys®

This Day In Weather History

Pittsburgh, PA (1982)
39 degrees, coldest ever in August.

Anchorage, AK (1989)
A total of 9.6 inches of rain -- wettest August on record.

New England (1816)
"Year in which there was no summer", otherwise known to weather historians as "1800 and frozen to death" killing frost once again damages sparse corn corp in northern New England...loss of this and other crops led to severe famine in much of New England that winter...and helped spur western migration in spring of 1817.