For the latest on next week's storm, monitor my Facebook Page, our Hurricane Center for Sandy's track, and watch our news story and blogs, many of whom are talking about the storm. See also my blog from Monday talking about historical precedents to October "superstorms."
A morning forecast model image gave every meteorologist who saw it a sick feeling in their gut:
What it showed was a 932mb (Strong Category 4) Hurricane plowing into the mid-Atlantic coast, like nothing seen in modern history. If that were to hit at that strength, it would break low pressure records across the mid-Atlantic; major damage would be widespread.
But how likely is that as a solution? Historically speaking, not very. The map below shows the tracks of all storms (that once were hurricanes) in October, November and December since 1900. None of these storms made landfall in the Northeast. (Henry found an (Extra) Tropical Storm that followed a similar track in 1923).
Furthermore, no Oct/Nov/Dec storm that had ever reached Category 3 has made landfall north of North Carolina* since 1900 (source; shown below) - in fact no storm in any month after 1900 has maintained at least Cat 3 status anywhere close to the NE coast, except for Esther in 1961. *I had erroneously said "Florida" before; there was one storm, Hazel in 1954, which made landfall north of Florida - near the NC/SC border.
Fortunately, the GFDL model later changed its track to be off the coast, but there are still models showing landfall. Monitor the links at the top of this entry for future information.
There's been a lot of news on amateur drones since I tested the DJI Phantom Quadcopter for storm chasing purposes last fall. Not to drone on, but let's take it from the top.
Today I'm pleased to announce a new suite of world radar maps and advisories from the national weather services of several countries on AccuWeather.com.
There's much ado this week about the polar vortex visiting the U.S. this week, but it wasn't long ago that we set over 7,800 cold records in July.
I caught an awesome lightning storm on the Dropcam at AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions' office in downtown Wichita Wednesday night.
Hurricane Arthur set a number of records and caused damage across eastern North Carolina. View the storm through maps, webcams and more.
Meteorologically, Hurricane Arthur is a beautiful storm -- almost a textbook example of a hurricane, especially when the right color palettes are applied.