UPDATE: I was quoted in this Reuters story, via the AccuWeather.com story via this blog story.
UPDATE 11 AM 12/5/2013: The SPI, which I mentioned below, is now within forecast range and is predicting power outages to last "5-10 days" in some areas! With ice now possible in the mid-Atlantic, this could end up exceeding the 2009 storm's 1.4 million power outages.
UPDATE 10 PM: DrudgeAlanche! Thanks for all my readers and commenters (except the crazy ones!) from DrudgeReport.com. Please follow my Facebook WeatherMatrix page or my Accu_Jesse Twitter account for additional information (examples below), and stay tuned to this AccuWeather.com news story and AccuWeather.com on Facebook for further official updates on the storm.
UPDATE 2 PM: Here's a map comparing the forecast for this week's storm versus the one in January 2009, which killed 23 people and knocked out power to 1,400,000 customers:
ORIGINAL POST: The forecasts are coming into agreement on a major ice storm over the next week, one that could last for several days, causing "regional" power outages, according to our latest news story (hi-res map). Indeed, some of the ice amounts that the forecasts are printing out are extreme.
The map above shows the estimated ice (sleet + freezing rain accumulation) from our internal "AccuModel" (a model blend tweaked by our meteorologists). Clearly, it's off the chart. Part of this is because the ice will simply last for such a long time... the GFS model has been forecasting that the ice (red & orange) could last nearly two days.
This would be terrible for power outages; some storms since I've been blogging including:
- January 2009 ice storm (1.4 million lost power)
- December 2007 ice storm (1.2 million)
- Dec. 12, 2008, ice storm (1 million)
- Dec. 15, 2005, ice storm: (700,000)
The Sperry-Piltz Ice Accumulation Index (SPIA), a newly developed ice storm rating system, will be interesting to watch during this event, although forecasts only go out 36 hours.
The Thanksgiving snowstorm has begun this Wednesday morning.
Do me a favor, travel Tuesday, or tell your family to hold on to the turkey until Friday.
Last year this time, a major winter storm in the Northeast was rumored for the biggest travelling day of the year... and so it is again this year:
Extreme lake-effect snow fell south and east of Buffalo, New York, this week, but is it a record? Not even close... so far.
The second shot of reinforcing cold air from last week's polar vortex invasion is coming in -- as more than half the nation is snow-covered.
Yes, that term "polar vortex" is back in the news. Please take this arctic outbreak for the serious meteorological beast that it is; see stats and maps here.