After I recorded the video I checked the latest stuff from the Hurricane Hunters and saw the area of hurricane force winds is pretty small and it looks as though the pressure has gone up a bit, so the apparent shear is currently taking its toll right now.
And yes, the critter east of Iselle in the East Pacific is now a tropical storm, Julio. It also will at least threaten Hawaii in the coming days. Even if in the end Julio just causes a second slug of rain on the islands, such a 1-2 punch of rain could lead to some pretty serious flooding. So, it looks like big trouble in paradise out there over the next week or so.
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For now, we have a weather pattern favorable for cold air to push south and it will at times. That will in turn lead to less moisture getting involved with fronts that move through compared to the last week or so.
With arctic air masses heading south through the next couple of weeks, it's looking colder and drier than the last week or so has been. However, there will be a few opportunities for rain, so we won't be excessively dry, either.
A storm moving into Texas this weekend will slowly drift through the South this coming week and tap into some tropical moisture. This will bring a lot of places a good soaking again, which is just what the doctor ordered! There will be some severe weather to deal with, however.
A slow-moving storm system will bring another soaking rain to a lot of the South Friday through early next week. After that, a front will bring one more chance for rain late next week followed by the first real cold spell of the season next weekend. The following week might be fun for some winter weather lovers.
It looks as though three storm systems will affect the South over the next week or so, which will produce some more desperately needed rainfall and lessen the wildfire risk. Unfortunately, with the rain will come more severe storm and tornado potential.
We stay dry through this weekend, so at least there will be good weather for the holiday weekend.