Severe weather will be the main weather worry for us this weekend. Spotty storms in West Texas overnight will spread east into Oklahoma and North Texas tomorrow. The worst of the tornado threat looks to be Saturday afternoon and night spreading east into Arkansas. The area between the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys appears to be the main area of concern for Sunday (though severe storms can hit north and south of there, too). Even on Monday, there can be some big storms from the Virginia Tidewater south to the Grand Strand ... farther west if the front ends up being slower than the models are showing.
The good news is that this storm crossing the eastern part of the country over the weekend will keep newly-formed Rafael well east of the East Coast. Unfortunately, it could be another hit for Bermuda.
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A blocked-up weather pattern will lead to a storm moving very little over the next several days. It will cause some severe storms and it will tap into tropical moisture, leading to flooding rains as well. Meanwhile, most of the Southeast will continue to see nice weather for a while.
It will warm up some ahead of a front early in the week, leading to severe storms along this front. It gets cool again later in the week, but not as cold as this weekend was.
If you think it's cold now, wait until this weekend! Another cold blast is headed to the Southeast and some will see snow flakes. We'll get one more cold shot next week but that should be the last one.
In the Southeast, unseasonable cold will rule at times through this weekend, but the cold will be felt less back west of the Mississippi. Some areas will even see some snow before it warms up, likely for good, next week.
The weather system that brought flooding rains the last few days will move out over the weekend with a second storm close behind. After that it will be mostly quiet for a few days.
A lot of moisture is about to be pulled out of the tropics into Texas, Oklahoma and the Mississippi Valley, fueling thunderstorms, some severe, and with flooding rains. This slow moving storm will finally head east late in the week into this weekend.