Severe weather will be the main weather worry for us this weekend. Spotty storms in West Texas overnight will spread east into Oklahoma and North Texas tomorrow. The worst of the tornado threat looks to be Saturday afternoon and night spreading east into Arkansas. The area between the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys appears to be the main area of concern for Sunday (though severe storms can hit north and south of there, too). Even on Monday, there can be some big storms from the Virginia Tidewater south to the Grand Strand ... farther west if the front ends up being slower than the models are showing.
The good news is that this storm crossing the eastern part of the country over the weekend will keep newly-formed Rafael well east of the East Coast. Unfortunately, it could be another hit for Bermuda.
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More soaking rains and severe storms are coming to Oklahoma and Texas in the coming days, while parts of the Southeast are barely able to buy a drop.
The setup remains favorable for wind, hail and flood producing thunderstorms to hit Texas and Oklahoma. Meanwhile, the Southeast will stay relatively quiet through this weekend.
More waves of rain and severe storms will hit west of the Mississippi the next several days while cooler air gets directed into the Southeast.
The weather pattern will favor more stormy weather in the southern Plains this week and less action in the Southeast. There is one difference this week, though, that cooler air will infiltrate much of the South.
It won't be totally quiet in the Southeast but the main action will remain in the area west of the Mississippi, where it will remain stormy and soggy.
Active weather will continue west of the Mississippi for several days but it's looking quieter near the East Coast.