Ugh... I had to spend all my time forecasting for Yankee Territory today. It's a good thing things are relatively quiet in the South. Cold, but mostly quiet. How cold is it? Well, the afternoon temperatures in Virginia and the Carolinas are running mostly in the 40s and low 50s, more typical of December and January. Also, it did indeed snow for a while today in the mountains in West Virginia, and at lower elevation than I thought, down to 3500 feet. I suspect the higher peaks around there have a couple of inches on them.
In general, the chilly air mass is going to hang on for another day or so in the Southeast, but temperatures are going to moderate. Later this week, one front after another will move through, spaced out every couple of days. The air masses behind the fronts won't be as cool as the one we're dealing with now, but cool enough to knock temperatures back for a while. The farther east you are, the cooler it can get. But, the cool will only last a day before warmth surges northward ahead of the next front. So, temperatures will be on a roller coaster. The fronts won't have much moisture returning in front of them, so don't expect much rain.
Most of the area west of the Mississippi will miss out on the fronts, which will stall near the Arklatex. So, it will get progressively warmer and more humid back in Texas. Eventually, it will get summery again by the end of the week. The warmth and humidity will fuel some big-time thunderstorms when the next significant storm reaches the area over the weekend. The storm in question is an upper low west of California now. It looks as though it will cause storms later Friday or Friday night in West Texas, then into Oklahoma and North Texas on Saturday. Of course, the timing is uncertain this far out. But, the computer models are showing enough shear to be worried about a tornado outbreak. For now, I don't see another big shot of cold coming for a while, in fact, the end of the month looks pretty warm.
I am @AccuFrank on Twitter.
Moisture surging north into the cold air in place will cause an icy setup with some snow for some. Once this moisture gets out of the way, the cold will edge farther south, eventually cooling Florida down.
I told y'all the cold will be back and it's on the way. It's some really cold stuff, too. The front leading it in will cause a soaking rain for some as well as snow and ice for others.
Not much has changed since yesterday: look for a warmup followed by a soaking followed by a return to cold later next week and next weekend.
Like I said yesterday, it will warm up but eventually the cold will win again. The challenge is figuring out what the transition will be like and how fast it occurs next week and beyond.
A spell of quieter weather is underway but it will get busy again next week. During this quiet spell it will warm up gradually. That might feed thunderstorms when it gets stormy again.
It's really cold now with some snow on the ground in some areas. It will warm up some but more cold air is lurking.