Ugh... I had to spend all my time forecasting for Yankee Territory today. It's a good thing things are relatively quiet in the South. Cold, but mostly quiet. How cold is it? Well, the afternoon temperatures in Virginia and the Carolinas are running mostly in the 40s and low 50s, more typical of December and January. Also, it did indeed snow for a while today in the mountains in West Virginia, and at lower elevation than I thought, down to 3500 feet. I suspect the higher peaks around there have a couple of inches on them.
In general, the chilly air mass is going to hang on for another day or so in the Southeast, but temperatures are going to moderate. Later this week, one front after another will move through, spaced out every couple of days. The air masses behind the fronts won't be as cool as the one we're dealing with now, but cool enough to knock temperatures back for a while. The farther east you are, the cooler it can get. But, the cool will only last a day before warmth surges northward ahead of the next front. So, temperatures will be on a roller coaster. The fronts won't have much moisture returning in front of them, so don't expect much rain.
Most of the area west of the Mississippi will miss out on the fronts, which will stall near the Arklatex. So, it will get progressively warmer and more humid back in Texas. Eventually, it will get summery again by the end of the week. The warmth and humidity will fuel some big-time thunderstorms when the next significant storm reaches the area over the weekend. The storm in question is an upper low west of California now. It looks as though it will cause storms later Friday or Friday night in West Texas, then into Oklahoma and North Texas on Saturday. Of course, the timing is uncertain this far out. But, the computer models are showing enough shear to be worried about a tornado outbreak. For now, I don't see another big shot of cold coming for a while, in fact, the end of the month looks pretty warm.
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It will get hot and steamy this weekend but we still expect to see cooler air arrive next week. The front leading the cooler air south will bring some areas active weather for several days.
Heat building in Texas will spread east but the much-hyped cool front will push it away next week. Look for some rough weather along the front, especially near the East Coast.
Heat will be building across the South over the next several days, but we already see signs of another shot of unusual cool air down the road. The heat won't go away quietly. Speaking of quiet, the tropics are currently.
It looks as though Arthur is going to be close enough to North Carolina to do some damage. Hopefully it doesn't get any closer than forecast. The rest of the Atlantic is quiet, the East Pacific isn't.
The low east of Florida will keep it active near the East Coast this week while the heat wave continues to the west. A front will move in and ease the heat for many by Independence Day.
It looks like a hot week for most of the South, although we see a cool front moving in later in the week. Also, there's this critter east of Florida to watch.