Ugh... I had to spend all my time forecasting for Yankee Territory today. It's a good thing things are relatively quiet in the South. Cold, but mostly quiet. How cold is it? Well, the afternoon temperatures in Virginia and the Carolinas are running mostly in the 40s and low 50s, more typical of December and January. Also, it did indeed snow for a while today in the mountains in West Virginia, and at lower elevation than I thought, down to 3500 feet. I suspect the higher peaks around there have a couple of inches on them.
In general, the chilly air mass is going to hang on for another day or so in the Southeast, but temperatures are going to moderate. Later this week, one front after another will move through, spaced out every couple of days. The air masses behind the fronts won't be as cool as the one we're dealing with now, but cool enough to knock temperatures back for a while. The farther east you are, the cooler it can get. But, the cool will only last a day before warmth surges northward ahead of the next front. So, temperatures will be on a roller coaster. The fronts won't have much moisture returning in front of them, so don't expect much rain.
Most of the area west of the Mississippi will miss out on the fronts, which will stall near the Arklatex. So, it will get progressively warmer and more humid back in Texas. Eventually, it will get summery again by the end of the week. The warmth and humidity will fuel some big-time thunderstorms when the next significant storm reaches the area over the weekend. The storm in question is an upper low west of California now. It looks as though it will cause storms later Friday or Friday night in West Texas, then into Oklahoma and North Texas on Saturday. Of course, the timing is uncertain this far out. But, the computer models are showing enough shear to be worried about a tornado outbreak. For now, I don't see another big shot of cold coming for a while, in fact, the end of the month looks pretty warm.
I am @AccuFrank on Twitter.
I'm dedicating all my time today to Erika, who seems to aspire to be the Laurel Thatcher Ulrich of the tropical cyclone world. Hopefully, I seem insightful and not as crazy as I fear I do.
High pressure nosing in will bring nice weather to much of the South for the next few days. Florida stays fairly active, though, and tropical moisture moving in plus possible Erika effects means Florida gets even wetter starting this weekend.
A string of quiet and pleasant days are coming for many. But, an influx of tropical moisture is coming to some areas this weekend and we have to watch a developing system in the Atlantic.
High pressure nosing into parts of the Southeast will lead to a nice weekend, while typical August heat reigns elsewhere with fairly typical afternoon thunderstorm coverage.
More soaking rains will affect parts of the South this week as a front moves into a soupy air mass. Meanwhile, we're following Danny move across the middle of the tropical Atlantic.
A front is about to move into a soupy air mass, resulting in thunderstorms. Some storms will be severe and some soaking rains may lead to flooding. There are critters to track in the tropics, too.