Well, it's still pretty murky over parts of the Southeast this evening, but at least the sun finally came out farther west and warmed things up some today. Still, Raleigh's and Charlotte's high was more typical of early December. We should, however, finally get some sun into these areas tomorrow.
Not much has changed since yesterday. Two largely moisture starved fronts will cross the Southeast over the rest of the workweek, blunting the general warmup that we will see over the next few days. The coolest air will stay north although I remain concerned that the last high coming down will get wedged in Friday and perhaps Saturday in the Carolinas and Virginia.
The drier air is filtering into Florida, as promised. The state looks mostly rain free through Friday except for some easterly flow showers along the east side of the peninsula, mostly south of the Space Coast. South Florida will see an influx of moisture this weekend, areas farther north likely stay dry.
No significant moisture should reach the Southeast until at least Sunday, Monday for some areas.
West of the Mississippi, things will be different. Fronts are only going to get so far south and west before stalling because of and upper ridge of high pressure that will grow over Texas this week and then drift eastward. Persistent southeasterly winds in this area will gradually moisten things up and warm things up as well. It will be almost summery in a lot of Texas, but farther north and east it can get unsettled as the fronts move in and stall. There can even be a few strong storms in Oklahoma and Arkansas.
The main concern remains the storm we'll be dealing with this weekend, though. Currently, it's spinning west of San Francisco and through Thursday, it will mosey it's way southward and then eastward through the deserts. It will start to cause problems in Texas and Oklahoma Friday afternoon with some severe storms breaking out, but I think the worst of the severe weather is going to hit Saturday in the Plains. The area from North Texas to eastern Kansas and western Missouri will be the main area to worry about, and I fear that tornadoes will be included.
We still have a few tropical critters to watch, too.
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The heat is about to expand east again and this time not many places will see it get beaten back next week. Aside from one critter that may bring some rain to Texas, the tropics are quiet and will be for a while.
The weather pattern is changing to one that favors some lasting summertime heat ... now that summertime is nearing its end! For now, the tropics have turned quiet.
The tropics look less active over the next week or so but maybe not totally quiet. Meanwhile, the weather pattern is changing to one that favors a longer stretch of hot weather in the Southeast.
TD4 is the main item of interest now, I expect it to be a near miss for the Southeast Coast but that's not guaranteed. Meanwhile, cooler air is pushing into the Southeast while the heat hangs on for a while longer west of the Mississippi.
Two videos tonight, one for the tropics and especially the Atlantic situation. Meanwhile, the heat is about to get beaten back some in the Southeast while areas west of the Mississippi keep baking.
The heat in Texas and Oklahoma will expand east this week and there can be lots of rain in the battle zone between it and cooler air up north. Meanwhile, we have several tropical critters to watch.