Well, it's still pretty murky over parts of the Southeast this evening, but at least the sun finally came out farther west and warmed things up some today. Still, Raleigh's and Charlotte's high was more typical of early December. We should, however, finally get some sun into these areas tomorrow.
Not much has changed since yesterday. Two largely moisture starved fronts will cross the Southeast over the rest of the workweek, blunting the general warmup that we will see over the next few days. The coolest air will stay north although I remain concerned that the last high coming down will get wedged in Friday and perhaps Saturday in the Carolinas and Virginia.
The drier air is filtering into Florida, as promised. The state looks mostly rain free through Friday except for some easterly flow showers along the east side of the peninsula, mostly south of the Space Coast. South Florida will see an influx of moisture this weekend, areas farther north likely stay dry.
No significant moisture should reach the Southeast until at least Sunday, Monday for some areas.
West of the Mississippi, things will be different. Fronts are only going to get so far south and west before stalling because of and upper ridge of high pressure that will grow over Texas this week and then drift eastward. Persistent southeasterly winds in this area will gradually moisten things up and warm things up as well. It will be almost summery in a lot of Texas, but farther north and east it can get unsettled as the fronts move in and stall. There can even be a few strong storms in Oklahoma and Arkansas.
The main concern remains the storm we'll be dealing with this weekend, though. Currently, it's spinning west of San Francisco and through Thursday, it will mosey it's way southward and then eastward through the deserts. It will start to cause problems in Texas and Oklahoma Friday afternoon with some severe storms breaking out, but I think the worst of the severe weather is going to hit Saturday in the Plains. The area from North Texas to eastern Kansas and western Missouri will be the main area to worry about, and I fear that tornadoes will be included.
We still have a few tropical critters to watch, too.
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Here comes another snow-producing storm and it looks as though Virginia will be the big winner. Some very cold air will arrive this week, too. Another snow may hit some of the same areas this weekend, too.
Moisture surging north into the cold air in place will cause an icy setup with some snow for some. Once this moisture gets out of the way, the cold will edge farther south, eventually cooling Florida down.
I told y'all the cold will be back and it's on the way. It's some really cold stuff, too. The front leading it in will cause a soaking rain for some as well as snow and ice for others.
Not much has changed since yesterday: look for a warmup followed by a soaking followed by a return to cold later next week and next weekend.
Like I said yesterday, it will warm up but eventually the cold will win again. The challenge is figuring out what the transition will be like and how fast it occurs next week and beyond.
A spell of quieter weather is underway but it will get busy again next week. During this quiet spell it will warm up gradually. That might feed thunderstorms when it gets stormy again.