Well, it's still pretty murky over parts of the Southeast this evening, but at least the sun finally came out farther west and warmed things up some today. Still, Raleigh's and Charlotte's high was more typical of early December. We should, however, finally get some sun into these areas tomorrow.
Not much has changed since yesterday. Two largely moisture starved fronts will cross the Southeast over the rest of the workweek, blunting the general warmup that we will see over the next few days. The coolest air will stay north although I remain concerned that the last high coming down will get wedged in Friday and perhaps Saturday in the Carolinas and Virginia.
The drier air is filtering into Florida, as promised. The state looks mostly rain free through Friday except for some easterly flow showers along the east side of the peninsula, mostly south of the Space Coast. South Florida will see an influx of moisture this weekend, areas farther north likely stay dry.
No significant moisture should reach the Southeast until at least Sunday, Monday for some areas.
West of the Mississippi, things will be different. Fronts are only going to get so far south and west before stalling because of and upper ridge of high pressure that will grow over Texas this week and then drift eastward. Persistent southeasterly winds in this area will gradually moisten things up and warm things up as well. It will be almost summery in a lot of Texas, but farther north and east it can get unsettled as the fronts move in and stall. There can even be a few strong storms in Oklahoma and Arkansas.
The main concern remains the storm we'll be dealing with this weekend, though. Currently, it's spinning west of San Francisco and through Thursday, it will mosey it's way southward and then eastward through the deserts. It will start to cause problems in Texas and Oklahoma Friday afternoon with some severe storms breaking out, but I think the worst of the severe weather is going to hit Saturday in the Plains. The area from North Texas to eastern Kansas and western Missouri will be the main area to worry about, and I fear that tornadoes will be included.
We still have a few tropical critters to watch, too.
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Cold air will rule the Southeast for a while with areas west of the Mississippi getting a glancing blow or outright warm. There is potential for a winter storm early next week.
The rest of the week will be cold and this weekend is looking very cold as arctic air moves in. With so much cold air available, there will be snow to talk about, too. West of the Mississippi, warmth will hold on in many areas.
Here's an update on the severe storm and tornado risk for the first part of the week. Behind the stormy weather, it will turn colder again.
A powerful storm will bring severe storms to parts of the South though the first part of the workweek, then much colder air arrives behind the storm. Opportunities for snow and ice will follow.
Warmer air will spread over the South this weekend and early next week while a powerful storm forms over the Southwest. This storm will cause a severe weather outbreak over a large part of the South next week, including tornadoes.
A storm and front converging on Florida will generate thunderstorms, some severe with lots of rain, through Thursday. Otherwise, we're heading into a quiet and warm spell that will last into early next week.