Well, it's still pretty murky over parts of the Southeast this evening, but at least the sun finally came out farther west and warmed things up some today. Still, Raleigh's and Charlotte's high was more typical of early December. We should, however, finally get some sun into these areas tomorrow.
Not much has changed since yesterday. Two largely moisture starved fronts will cross the Southeast over the rest of the workweek, blunting the general warmup that we will see over the next few days. The coolest air will stay north although I remain concerned that the last high coming down will get wedged in Friday and perhaps Saturday in the Carolinas and Virginia.
The drier air is filtering into Florida, as promised. The state looks mostly rain free through Friday except for some easterly flow showers along the east side of the peninsula, mostly south of the Space Coast. South Florida will see an influx of moisture this weekend, areas farther north likely stay dry.
No significant moisture should reach the Southeast until at least Sunday, Monday for some areas.
West of the Mississippi, things will be different. Fronts are only going to get so far south and west before stalling because of and upper ridge of high pressure that will grow over Texas this week and then drift eastward. Persistent southeasterly winds in this area will gradually moisten things up and warm things up as well. It will be almost summery in a lot of Texas, but farther north and east it can get unsettled as the fronts move in and stall. There can even be a few strong storms in Oklahoma and Arkansas.
The main concern remains the storm we'll be dealing with this weekend, though. Currently, it's spinning west of San Francisco and through Thursday, it will mosey it's way southward and then eastward through the deserts. It will start to cause problems in Texas and Oklahoma Friday afternoon with some severe storms breaking out, but I think the worst of the severe weather is going to hit Saturday in the Plains. The area from North Texas to eastern Kansas and western Missouri will be the main area to worry about, and I fear that tornadoes will be included.
We still have a few tropical critters to watch, too.
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A storm moving north from the Carolina coast will bring rain and wind to Virginia and Delmarva through Thursday. An old front sitting around in Florida will keep it active there. Otherwise, it looks mostly quiet until next week.
Here's my memories of Hugo, which hit South Carolina 25 years ago yesterday and today.
Brief weekend warmth in the Southeast will be replaced by cooler air again next week. Thanks to the fronts bringing the cool air south, Florida will stay wet.
Cool air nosing into the south will give some a nice and cool weekend, while others will be stuck under a front and get soaked. There are a few things to watch in the tropics but no imminent threats.
Some tropical features will affect the South in the coming days. I don't expect anything too serious except that moisture from them will lead to some soaking rains, especially where they interact with the front moving in.
A front will move into the South and stall, bringing rain and storms for many but those fortunate enough to be north of the front this weekend will have enjoyable weather.