Well, it's still pretty murky over parts of the Southeast this evening, but at least the sun finally came out farther west and warmed things up some today. Still, Raleigh's and Charlotte's high was more typical of early December. We should, however, finally get some sun into these areas tomorrow.
Not much has changed since yesterday. Two largely moisture starved fronts will cross the Southeast over the rest of the workweek, blunting the general warmup that we will see over the next few days. The coolest air will stay north although I remain concerned that the last high coming down will get wedged in Friday and perhaps Saturday in the Carolinas and Virginia.
The drier air is filtering into Florida, as promised. The state looks mostly rain free through Friday except for some easterly flow showers along the east side of the peninsula, mostly south of the Space Coast. South Florida will see an influx of moisture this weekend, areas farther north likely stay dry.
No significant moisture should reach the Southeast until at least Sunday, Monday for some areas.
West of the Mississippi, things will be different. Fronts are only going to get so far south and west before stalling because of and upper ridge of high pressure that will grow over Texas this week and then drift eastward. Persistent southeasterly winds in this area will gradually moisten things up and warm things up as well. It will be almost summery in a lot of Texas, but farther north and east it can get unsettled as the fronts move in and stall. There can even be a few strong storms in Oklahoma and Arkansas.
The main concern remains the storm we'll be dealing with this weekend, though. Currently, it's spinning west of San Francisco and through Thursday, it will mosey it's way southward and then eastward through the deserts. It will start to cause problems in Texas and Oklahoma Friday afternoon with some severe storms breaking out, but I think the worst of the severe weather is going to hit Saturday in the Plains. The area from North Texas to eastern Kansas and western Missouri will be the main area to worry about, and I fear that tornadoes will be included.
We still have a few tropical critters to watch, too.
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I just have a few brief words about the situation coming up next week.
After one more batch of snow mainly in the Plains through Saturday, we will see a nice warmup, but it won't last. Soaking rain, maybe bad thunderstorms, will accompany a sharp cold front next week.
The next 2-3 days will still be cold, but a temporary warmup is coming. Some areas will get pretty toasty. Warmer air surging in will bring other problems, like possible severe weather.
This morning's storm overperformed, could the next storm coming Wednesday night overperform as well? Fro some, maybe. Don't forget a good soaking coming to areas south of the snow.
We have two snow and ice events to deal with. One is a smaller one tonight and tomorrow, the second one more substantial for Wednesday night and Thursday.
The weather pattern remains favorable to bring cold air into the eastern part of the country, while we will have a storm to deal with every few days.