Well, it's still pretty murky over parts of the Southeast this evening, but at least the sun finally came out farther west and warmed things up some today. Still, Raleigh's and Charlotte's high was more typical of early December. We should, however, finally get some sun into these areas tomorrow.
Not much has changed since yesterday. Two largely moisture starved fronts will cross the Southeast over the rest of the workweek, blunting the general warmup that we will see over the next few days. The coolest air will stay north although I remain concerned that the last high coming down will get wedged in Friday and perhaps Saturday in the Carolinas and Virginia.
The drier air is filtering into Florida, as promised. The state looks mostly rain free through Friday except for some easterly flow showers along the east side of the peninsula, mostly south of the Space Coast. South Florida will see an influx of moisture this weekend, areas farther north likely stay dry.
No significant moisture should reach the Southeast until at least Sunday, Monday for some areas.
West of the Mississippi, things will be different. Fronts are only going to get so far south and west before stalling because of and upper ridge of high pressure that will grow over Texas this week and then drift eastward. Persistent southeasterly winds in this area will gradually moisten things up and warm things up as well. It will be almost summery in a lot of Texas, but farther north and east it can get unsettled as the fronts move in and stall. There can even be a few strong storms in Oklahoma and Arkansas.
The main concern remains the storm we'll be dealing with this weekend, though. Currently, it's spinning west of San Francisco and through Thursday, it will mosey it's way southward and then eastward through the deserts. It will start to cause problems in Texas and Oklahoma Friday afternoon with some severe storms breaking out, but I think the worst of the severe weather is going to hit Saturday in the Plains. The area from North Texas to eastern Kansas and western Missouri will be the main area to worry about, and I fear that tornadoes will be included.
We still have a few tropical critters to watch, too.
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With the weather pattern blocked up, most of the South will be quiet through this weekend. But a storm up north will cause a few problems and a Gulf storm will cause a few big problems.
Gonzalo and Ana are moving on while Trudy's remains may spawn an Atlantic development, definitely some wet weather for South Florida. Otherwise, cooler air will stay near the East Coast while other areas are mostly nice.
A couple of waves of cooler air will push into the South through the middle of next week, but there will not be much rain. The tropics, however, remain active with three storms to deal with.
Some unseasonably cool air is moving into the South and will lead to a cool weekend. Temperatures will moderate gradually next week. Eventually, some moisture from Simon should affect the South.
Parts of the Southeast, mostly Alabama to North Carolina and south to Florida, will see heavy thunderstorms Sunday through Tuesday. Other areas look mostly nice, but starting Tuesday a front will cause some severe storms in the southern Plains states.
A storm moving north from the Carolina coast will bring rain and wind to Virginia and Delmarva through Thursday. An old front sitting around in Florida will keep it active there. Otherwise, it looks mostly quiet until next week.