The weekend is looking very nice in the Southeast, but it looks windy and warmer ahead of a front that will push southward into areas west of the Mississippi starting Saturday. The front will cause some severe weather in the Plains Saturday and Saturday night, then probably a few bad storms in the Arklatex and points south Sunday. After that, the severe threat diminishes as the front pushes east into the Southeast early next week but it won't fall to zero.
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Two separate storms will affect the South through Monday then there is a potential big storm to deal with right before Christmas.
The weather pattern is turning to a wetter and stormier one. Eventually, it will get colder, too, but not for another week or so.
The situation is complicated and there is uncertainty but it look as though some good rain and even some snow late this week and this weekend for much of the South.
A storm moving into Texas and Oklahoma tomorrow will cause thunderstorms and some may be severe. There is a slight concern for severe weather Tuesday in the lower Mississippi Valley, too.
While we remain in a relatively tranquil setup, we will have one storm system to deal with starting Sunday and another next week.
Storms have consequences beyond their direct impacts. The storm up north this week will direct chilly air into the South and lock it in place for most of the week.