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Flood Threat Remains From Tropical Low in Mexico

By Alex Sosnowski, senior meteorologist.
June 7, 2014; 5:24 AM ET

A tropical low has run out of time to develop, but the threat for flooding and mudslides remains in southern Mexico and neighboring Central America.

The area of low pressure that meteorologists have been monitoring has moved inland and is dissipating, ending the potential for it to become the Atlantic Basin's first tropical depression of the year.

However, the concern for downpours has not lessened.

Unsettled conditions will continue over southern Mexico and part of Central America into next week between the remnants of the low and additional tropical moisture.

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Daily rainfall rates of 3 to 5 inches are likely with isolated reports of over 10 inches in the area from southeastern Mexico to Guatemala and Belize through the weekend. Over the past 24 hours ending late Saturday morning, local time, near Heroica Veracruz, Mexico has seen over 8 inches of rain.

The rainfall will act as a double-edged sword.

"While the rain can lead to long-term and short-term drought relief, it can also lead to incidents of life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides in the region," Meteorologist Rob Miller said.

Conditions may be favorable for a tropical system to develop over the eastern Pacific early next week and the area of the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean near the Yucatan Peninsula could make another attempt to generate a weak system later next week.

Drenching showers and thunderstorms could then be steered over part of Florida and the Bahamas in such a case.

The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or


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