1. The first issue is the Norlun Trough setup across coastal New England tonight. This always a tough forecast because where the trough sets up, there can be very heavy snowfall of up to a foot. As of this morning, it looks like the trough should set up between Boston and Portland with coastal New Hampshire that place for the heaviest snows.
2. Light snows coming through Pennsylvania to New England today can cause icy roads due to the roads being a little warm from yesterday and the drop in temperature that is coming. While some areas will get a coating to an inch, roads can get icy in places.
3. Cold is king this week for areas from the Midwest to the Northeast. While we may some let up in the cold, this is just the start of a prolong cold spell that will run through much of February.
4. Friday's storm map is below. Given the cold weather, this will be a high ratio snow event with ratios of 20:1. I went for a general 3-6 inches north of the storm track, but some places in that area could get up to 8 inches. I did throw out the 6z GFS run this morning and stayed with the ECMWF and 00Z run of the GFS for snow amounts.
Scenarios with our tropical system. Severe storms for the Midwest today.
We may see the tropics get active and produce a storm next week. We could see a storm approaching the US Gulf Coast by the Labor day weekend.
The pattern will bring heavy thunderstorms today and Wednesday. Video reviews the areas where the storms will hit.
No widespread severe weather just a few across the Midwest today.
The pattern is going to switch from the trough in the East to a trough in the West. That means warmth!
Trough in the East for now, but come changes are on the way for next week.