Henry Margusity

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Winter Comes Early to the Great Lakes and Northern Plains

October 17, 2013; 9:43 AM ET


We are going into a cold weather pattern across the eastern part of the country that will probably last well into November per the CFS model. The ECMWF weeklies disagree with that, in fact, the ECMWF monthlies show the core of the cold weather staying into the northern Rockies and northern Plains with warmth over much of the East. It's been that way for a while now that the two models are at opposite ends of the spectrum in regards to the winter weather. The CFS says cold weather winter into the East and the ECMWF says warm in the East. I am leaning toward a compromise between the CFS and ECMWF models with the cold weather staying in the northern Plains with normal temperatures elsewhere across the country. As for snow, just not sure yet where the core of the heaviest snows will fall.

In the near term, we have a quick shot of snow for Denver and another show of snow for the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes Sunday night into Monday.

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Henry Margusity
AccuWeather.com severe weather expert, Henry Margusity, offers the Meteorological Madness blog including detailed analysis of severe weather across the US.