The weather pattern to me looks rather wild next weekend and there after. As the current storm moves away, another storm will develop next week and could be another major one for the northern Plains. The models seem to be having a hard time with the next storm. The GFS for example had a blizzard in the Dakotas on the 00z run and moved it north into Canada on the 6z run. The Euro does not develop the storm until it heads into northern Ontario, so there is quite a difference. I would probably go with the idea that a storm develops over Minnesota and could bring snow to the Dakota's late next week.
I did read the NOAA story about the El Nino challenge for this winter. I actually agree with the story that the El Nino is having a hard time coming about and that we may face more neutral conditions going through winter. If that were to happen, I think the result will be snow for the Northeast and even some snow in the Midwest. I will be doing my winter forecast soon and will be factoring in the ENSO conditions.
Severe weather for the Ohio Valley and Northeast today.
One more day of tornadoes, some which can be large and devastating.
Tornadoes could be worse today given the jet coming out into the Plains.
We are going into a five- to seven-day period of severe weather which will include tornadoes. We could see over 100 reports of tornadoes.
Latest map on the severe weather areas this weekend into Monday. Monday could be the big day.
Marginal severe weather the rest of the week, but the weekend could turn ugly in the Plains as the tornadoes return.