1. I put a link below to the snow map on our AccuWeather.com site since I gave my input into the snowfall across that area. In any case, local blizzard conditions will hit that area today.
2. Here we go again. The GFS model below now shows a snowstorm on Thanksgiving cutting across the mid-Atlantic states. I would not get too excited for that to happen, but what I would get excited about is the pattern late next week that may produce the first significant snow event for areas north of Kentucky to Virginia. Both the Euro and GFS have been showing the phasing and amplification of the trough in the East late next week. If it all comes together, we could see low pressure develop in the South, move to the coast and explode into the first big snowstorm for the I-95 corridor. In fact, I may have to pull the Big Daddy hat out if it all happens.
Understand, I do not think there is a snowstorm Thanksgiving Day. I think it happens during the Friday and Saturday time period if it occurs.
In the meantime, we do have snow potential for the Plains and western Great Lakes early in the week as the cold air moves in. I think tomorrow, I will be putting out my first snow potential maps.
Henry's Map Wall
|Surface Maps||500mb Maps||Simulated Radar|
|Surface Weather Maps||00z NMM|
|T-Storm Outlooks||12z NMM Simulated Radar|
|00z NAM Surface Map||00z NAM 500mb||00Z NAM Simulated Radar|
|06z NAM Surface Map||06z NAM 500mb||06Z NAM Simulated Radar|
|12z NAM Surface Map||12z NAM 500mb||12Z NAM Simulated Radar|
|18z NAM Surface Map||18z NAM 500mb||18Z NAM Simulated Radar|
|00z GFS Surface Map||00z GFS 500mb Maps||00z 00z ARW Simulated Radar|
|06z GFS Surface Map||06z GFS 500mb Maps||00z 12z ARW Simulated Radar|
|12z GFS Surface Map||12z GFS 500mb Maps|
|18z GFS Surface Map||18z GFS 500mb Maps|
We are going into a five- to seven-day period of severe weather which will include tornadoes. We could see over 100 reports of tornadoes.
Latest map on the severe weather areas this weekend into Monday. Monday could be the big day.
Marginal severe weather the rest of the week, but the weekend could turn ugly in the Plains as the tornadoes return.
Tornadoes remain low but that may change this weekend.
More severe weather today into Saturday in the form of hail and damaging winds.
Storms will produce hail and strong winds today and Friday. Maybe a tornado or two in Texas.