Henry Margusity

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Tropics Will Come Back Next Week, Low Tornado Count

August 19, 2013; 8:38 AM ET

Commentary

While we are in a quiet time I wanted to follow up on the lack of tornadoes. On the graph below, you can see that over the weekend we dipped below the minimum number of tornadoes for the date in regards to the percentile rankings. This has really been a quiet year for tornadoes despite the fact that May was a deadly month with five killer tornadoes and 41 deaths. One would think that during a year with such low numbers the number of deaths will be low as well, but we continue to have the age old problem with warnings, communications and people reacting to warnings. Plus, the shear size of the tornadoes this year have also caused issues, especially the one in Oklahoma.

It does not appear the second severe weather season will be all that active as well.

While things are quiet the tropics, the GFS suggests that the tropics will get active next week with several storms in the Atlantic.

The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com

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Henry Margusity
AccuWeather.com severe weather expert, Henry Margusity, offers the Meteorological Madness blog including detailed analysis of severe weather across the US.