Henry Margusity

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Tropics May Get Going Later Next Week

August 9, 2013; 10:00 AM ET

Commentary

We have been saying that mid-August was the start of the tropical blast and it's starting to look that way. First of all, we have a big high coming down into the eastern U.S. late next week. Highs of that nature add spin into the old fronts and can spin up a storm along the front. So right now, I am watching the area off the Southeast coast and the eastern Gulf of Mexico.

Secondly, the GFS is suggesting the dry, dusty air in the tropics ends, and the African wave train can get going, producing possible storms after Aug. 16.

I do think that once things get going, we are going to have about a four- to six-week period of storms to deal with before the tropics shut down in October.

Watch the flood threat across the Northeast and the Tennessee Valley today. Rain could get serious in some areas causing flash flooding and damage.

The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com

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Henry Margusity
AccuWeather.com severe weather expert, Henry Margusity, offers the Meteorological Madness blog including detailed analysis of severe weather across the US.