We have been saying that mid-August was the start of the tropical blast and it's starting to look that way. First of all, we have a big high coming down into the eastern U.S. late next week. Highs of that nature add spin into the old fronts and can spin up a storm along the front. So right now, I am watching the area off the Southeast coast and the eastern Gulf of Mexico.
Secondly, the GFS is suggesting the dry, dusty air in the tropics ends, and the African wave train can get going, producing possible storms after Aug. 16.
I do think that once things get going, we are going to have about a four- to six-week period of storms to deal with before the tropics shut down in October.
Watch the flood threat across the Northeast and the Tennessee Valley today. Rain could get serious in some areas causing flash flooding and damage.
Early season subtropical storm development this week will be the big story. Severe weather's clogged up in the Plains.
Storms could be strong in the Midwest Sunday. Later next week, pre-season tropical development may occur.
Storms today may produce small hail and gusty winds. Watching the Southeast coast for possible development.
Storms will develop Thursday and they may contain hail and gusty winds.
Interesting weather coming up the next week or so as jet goes through some ups and downs.
Severe weather will continue across Louisiana and eastern Texas today.