Henry Margusity

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Tropics Are Interesting... Severe Storms Today

August 21, 2014; 10:14 AM ET

About the Tropics

So throw out the models and start looking at the pattern. I see two scenarios once we have a system. The first scenario, the trough picks up the system and takes it out to sea. The second scenario is the system misses the connection with the trough and moves west into the Gulf of Mexico. The key to the track will be the intensity of the system by Saturday when the trough passes to the north of the Bahamas. The system looks nice and round this morning which says to me it wants to go once in an area for development. My gut feeling that we have at least a tropical depression by Saturday and that it misses the connection with the trough and heads west.

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    June 30, 2015; 10:16 AM ET

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About This Blog

Henry Margusity
AccuWeather.com severe weather expert, Henry Margusity, offers the Meteorological Madness blog including detailed analysis of severe weather across the US.