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    Henry Margusity

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    Tropics Are Alive and Will Remain That Way for Several Weeks

    August 15, 2013; 8:40 AM ET


    We now have Tropical Storm Erin in the Atlantic which is not a threat for anyone for a week or so. In the western Caribbean, the system has become less organized and will move over the Yucatan Peninsula. If any development occurs, it will not happen until the system moves into the Gulf of Mexico. On the map below, I placed the path I like for the system. It agrees with the GFDL on the track, hooking up with the trough. The danger with such a system is the quick intensification as it nears the coast this weekend. It maybe a case where the storm goes from tropical depression to tropical storm in a 12-hour period within 500 miles of the coast. Despite the type of system, I still think the main impacts will be heavy rains and flash flooding across the South and Southeast this weekend into early next week.

    The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com


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