I made some adjustments to the severe weather areas for today through Sunday. The upper-level low is coming out a little south of where the models had it yesterday so adjusted the highest TS5 areas south into central Missouri where the best forcing will occur. While I am concerned about tornadoes, I think that wind damage and hail will be the main threats all three days.
Storm next week will bring many impacts which includes high winds, snow and heavy thunderstorms.
Light snow events through the weekend. Potential big storm next week prior to the holidays.
Confidence on the storm this weekend remains rather low.
The first storm brings snow across the northern Plains. Weekend storm could produce some heavy amounts but track differs with the models
Southern branch of the jet gets energized with storms this weekend and beyond.
Southern branch of the jet gets active with storms which means some snow but more rain.