I posted the graph below of the tornado season so far this year which is rivaling 2010 and 2004 as the lowest years for tornadoes. I think by May 1, this year will be the lowest number of tornadoes to-date considering the weather pattern, to me, does not look like a severe weather pattern for the last half of April. Even today, I think the impacts will be mainly wind damage and hail along the squall line in the Mississippi Valley. If you look at 2004, the weather pattern is very similar. If we stay on the tornado trend, we should see the last half of May being the active time for tornadoes again considering the delay in spring this year. It seems to me overall everything is delayed by a month this year.
Today, the severe weather will be mainly wind damage and hail along the squall line, and tomorrow, while there might be a few strong storms, I think the bulk of the severe weather calms down despite an active cold front moving across the East.
The snow will continue across the Upper Midwest but should wind down by Friday morning. I think this should be the last of the big snows even though there is enough chilly weather sitting around through next week in that area.
Sunday will be the active day for severe weather and the potential for damaging storms.
Severe weather will develop in the Midwest Sunday and tornadoes could occur with the storms.
System in the Gulf could become a TD...outbreak of severe weather Sunday.
System in the Gulf has a low chance for development the next two days.
Video today looks at the tropical storm and where it will go. No extreme storms, just a few heavy ones.
Here are the scenarios for the track of the tropical system.