I am starting to see a transition of the cold weather to one that more like early spring. The AO is coming up, the NAO is going to positive and the PNA is going negative which all means a reversal of the weather pattern across the eastern part of the country. As I said before, it's a long and windy road getting there, but we will get there.
The next shot of cold weather is coming down the slide later this weekend into early next week. We have some severe storms ahead of that front across the southern Plains which can produce large hail and damaging wind gusts.
After the cold front goes through, it will turn sharply colder behind it and the rain may change to wet snow for a few hours. I don't expect any major accumulations to occur. The good thing is that the cold air mass is going to stick around through the middle of the week before heading out in time for the weekend.
Late next week, I am concerned about a severe weather outbreak across the Southeast and Florida. The system crossing California will slide across the South next week, and it appears that enough heat and humidity will driven north into the Southeast and Florida to fuel some big time storms and the potential for tornadoes.
A stormy time across the southern Plains today into Saturday. Flooding rains will be the main issue during the period.
Storms will be severe in the southern mid-Atlantic and in the Southern Plains. Tornadoes possible in the Plains Friday.
The focus of the severe weather will be across southern Iowa into western Illnois where storms should develop around the upper-level low.
Storm coming out of the Rockies will bring tornadoes and severe winds to the Plains and Mississippi. Mid-Atlantic has big storms too.
Severe weather will occur this week as a series of storms move across the country.
The pattern will become active in the Plains and Midwest starting Sunday and lasting into next week.