Henry Margusity

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The Hot "Tropic" May Be in the Gulf of this Week

June 18, 2012; 8:14 AM


This week the place to watch will be the Gulf of Mexico. The operational models have been hinting at weak development for almost two weeks now, and this morning's satellite image shows considerable thunderstorms developing over the western Caribbean. My thoughts are, we should see low pressure developing over the western Caribbean and slowly working north the end of the week. Over the weekend, we should see low pressure in the south-central Gulf of Mexico that may try to wind up into a storm. Any development will be slow going.

The system in the Atlantic is being monitored by NHC for subtropical development. That system will head out to the North Atlantic this week and may become a subtropical storm.

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Henry Margusity
AccuWeather.com severe weather expert, Henry Margusity, offers the Meteorological Madness blog including detailed analysis of severe weather across the US.