This week the place to watch will be the Gulf of Mexico. The operational models have been hinting at weak development for almost two weeks now, and this morning's satellite image shows considerable thunderstorms developing over the western Caribbean. My thoughts are, we should see low pressure developing over the western Caribbean and slowly working north the end of the week. Over the weekend, we should see low pressure in the south-central Gulf of Mexico that may try to wind up into a storm. Any development will be slow going.
The system in the Atlantic is being monitored by NHC for subtropical development. That system will head out to the North Atlantic this week and may become a subtropical storm.
An upper low will dive into the Ohio Valley producing an area of heavy rain.
A front settles down into Texas and causes heavy rains.
Severe storms over the High Plains. Video looks at the tropical issues coming up.
Tropics may produce storms that could impact the U.S.
The heavy storms return to the Midwest, some with hail and heavy rains.
Two tropical systems will impact the U.S. with heavy rains.