I have no changes in the overall ideas of the system in the Gulf of Mexico. This morning, the low-level center moved off the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula, so now we can track the system through the Gulf. With the trough dipping in, the system should turn to the north and move into the central Gulf Coast Sunday. While most of the thunderstorms will stay over the eastern side of the system, there is still the chance the system ends up into a tropical depression or even a tropical storm as it approaches the coast. Despite any category given to the system, impacts will remain the same, and that is heavy rain across the Southeast this weekend.
Parts of the East will see heavy rains with some flooding possible. Another storm will bring severe weather back to the Plains this weekend.
Florida will be hit by severe storms. An upper-level low will move into the mid-Atlantic and produces locally heavy rains.
A cold front passing through the Southeast will produce strong storms today. An upper-level low may bring heavy rains and flooding to parts of the mid-Atlantic later this week.
Storms in the mid-Atlantic can be severe today. Pattern changes to a cooler one later this week.
A stormy time across the southern Plains today into Saturday. Flooding rains will be the main issue during the period.
Storms will be severe in the southern mid-Atlantic and in the Southern Plains. Tornadoes possible in the Plains Friday.