The NAO will remain negative through next week, so that means we need to watch the East Coast for another storm. The GFS is now showing that storm while the Euro goes out to sea with the storm. The Euro should come around to the storm idea.
Now understand, I am not saying a big storm is coming. What develops should be much weaker than Sandy and produce only gusty winds and rain. What it will do is cause rain over the hard hit areas of the mid-Atlantic delaying clean-up efforts. There is an outside chance the storm will cause higher tides along the coast again which would not be good for the beaches already destroyed by Sandy.
Once we get past that storm, the pattern changes and the storms go back to the West, and the Northeast gets a chance to dry out.
Watching the system in the Gulf of Mexico for development. Probably a small chance.
Heat builds into the East while the rain continues for the Pacific Northwest.
Erika will have many issues this weekend includng tracking over the islands with big mountains.
Erika will track into the Bahamas and may intensify early next week. Track could bring it close to the U.S.
Erika's path and intensity over the next five days is the concern of the day.
We continue to watch the tropics as now we have a new storm.