Well, it's that time of the year when the snow starts falling and all the snow lovers watch every run of the models to see the latest on the snowstorms.
This weekend, a wave of low pressure will run up along the cold front and may produce some wet snow over the higher elevations from western Pennsylvania up to New Hampshire. This is not a big deal of an event because the boundary layer temperatures will be so marginal for snow that, even if it came down heavy, it probably would not stick to anything.
The models have trended west on the system Wednesday night. Now that maybe a just a run of the model trend but, in any case, I just made the snow possibility area a little bigger and more west to cover that trend for now.
Watching the system in the Gulf of Mexico for development. Probably a small chance.
Heat builds into the East while the rain continues for the Pacific Northwest.
Erika will have many issues this weekend includng tracking over the islands with big mountains.
Erika will track into the Bahamas and may intensify early next week. Track could bring it close to the U.S.
Erika's path and intensity over the next five days is the concern of the day.
We continue to watch the tropics as now we have a new storm.