The GFS and ECMWF seem to be in some agreement now on the track of the storm across the South. The DGEX and Canada still bring a significant storm north with heavy snow across the southern Ohio Valley into Appalachians and a major snow event across the Northeast. I like the track staying south of these areas with the main impact being severe storms and locally heavy rains across the South. The map below shows the area of severe weather across the South. The low-level jet strengthens across Alabama into Georgia late Sunday night into midday Sunday which implies the storms may remain severe overnight Saturday into Sunday morning. Right now, the impacts seem to be damaging winds and flooding rains, but if the low-level jet and dew points come up, we may have a early morning tornado outbreak.
Track of tropical system critical for development, but South Florida could be threatened first.
A new tropical system may be a threat to southern Florida late in the weekend and early next week.
The tropics will produce a storm that could impact the United States coast.
A cold front will be led by severe storms all the way to the Northeast this weekend. Tropics could produce a big storm.
A cold front coming east will produce several days of several weather. Tropics could get active next week as a big high comes down.
A cold front that will bring a change to nicer weather will also produce severe storms in the Plains first Thursday and Friday then eventually in the East this weekend.