1. The front will sag into the Southeast and produce heavy thunderstorms with the main impacts being wind and hail. I did notice the HRRR model showed storms into the mid-Atlantic as the wave of low pressure moves up the front. That's why I put an area of heavy storms there.
2. A convective cluster of storms may develop ahead of the upper low coming out of the Southwest Thursday into Friday morning. This could be a serious situation in regards to flash flooding for the Hill Country of Texas late Thursday into Friday night. Heavy rain may go all the way to the coast by Friday midday and afternoon.
3. Scattered thunderstorms with gusty winds and hail may develop in the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley today, then into the Northeast Thursday afternoon. The storms will develop under the axis of the trough that will swing through.
We are going into a five- to seven-day period of severe weather which will include tornadoes. We could see over 100 reports of tornadoes.
Latest map on the severe weather areas this weekend into Monday. Monday could be the big day.
Marginal severe weather the rest of the week, but the weekend could turn ugly in the Plains as the tornadoes return.
Tornadoes remain low but that may change this weekend.
More severe weather today into Saturday in the form of hail and damaging winds.
Storms will produce hail and strong winds today and Friday. Maybe a tornado or two in Texas.