I know a lot of you are scratching your heads yesterday based on my comments about the winter forecast. So let me explain a couple of things.
1. I am not making changes to the forecast just yet, I am just looking at some things that are concerning me in regards to the initial reasoning of the forecast.
2. If the concerns I expressed yesterday are correct, yes, it would be a worse winter in the East and not as bad in the Northwest as predicted. It would also mean a change to the snow amounts. Yes, more snow in many places..
3. When would I make a change? Probably in the next two weeks or so if we continue to see the pattern going in the direction it seems to be going.
I hope that answers all your questions....
Heavy rains from Odile will spread across southern New Mexico into Texas. Flash flooding may occur.
Dangerous flooding will occur as Odile heads into southern Arizona.
Odile will bring some serious flooding to parts of Arizona into New Mexico.
Flash flooding will be the big story across the Southwest this week.
Low over Florida will drift into the Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Slow development possible.
Snow along the Front Range of the Rockies...cold weather in the Plains.