1. The AO hit its lowest point over the weekend, so it's uphill in regards to temperatures. It will be a gradual uphill battle to warmth in the eastern part of the country, not a dramatic turnaround. I think it will remain on the cool side through April relative to normal.
2. I posted the HRRR model snowfall because it shows what I am thinking in regards to snowfall, although it might be on the high side in amounts. New Jersey, Delaware, southeastern Pennsylvania will see the heaviest snow today although there will be heavy snow showers across the Ohio Valley into western and central Pennsylvania.
3. Once the storm is done tonight, it will be quiet for a few days until the weekend when the GFS hints at big thunderstorms developing in the midsection of the country. We will see a return of warmth and humidity into the Plains which should be the fuel for storms to develop.
The weather will be severe across the Plains this weekend as thunderstorms with hail, damaging winds, tornadoes and flooding rains develop.
Severe storms will develop across the eastern Carolina's today. Active severe weather pattern in the Plains this weekend.
Pattern continues to produce storms across Texas and the High Plains into the Holiday weekend. Eastern Carolina's get hit Thursday.
High Plains get hit again with heavy rains, severe storms and even snow. The weather should calm down later tomorrow.
Severe weather coverage will be less this week but still active across western Texas.
The pattern has not changed much and that means the severe weather will hit the Plains this weekend.