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Snow for the Great Lakes. Weekend Storm and More!

Feb 15, 2012; 8:05 AM ET

Disco

1. The images below cover the storm coming up today through Thursday, so please refer to the images on snow amounts and severe weather areas.

2. This weekend's storm still poses a lot of questions. The Euro backed off and the GFS went north, so the models have no consensus as of today. I think what we will see is the same old flat wave of low pressure running across the South with very little, if any, snow on the northern edge of the system. We may still see snow showers with the northern branch system moving across the Great Lakes into the Northeast.

I think one of the biggest issues with the severe weather with that same system. The Gulf of Mexico is like a pot of hot water ready to get tapped by any storm coming on by. Severe storms may develop from southern Louisiana into eastern North Carolina with southern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle getting hit hard by damaging storms and perhaps even tornadoes.

3. Late next week, the GFS has one for the first negative tilted troughs coming into the eastern part of the country. The NAO is sinking down, so there is the chance that everything finally comes together for a major storm to develop along the coast and really hit the Northeast hard with heavy snow. Keep in mind, this could just be model imagination and later runs of the models show nothing at all. (Like we have not seen that this winter.) The other thing we have going for us is the weakening La Nina. Typically there is a big storm as the La Nina wanes away in late winter, something that I have been saying for the past couple of months.

The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com

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Henry Margusity
AccuWeather.com severe weather expert, Henry Margusity, offers the Meteorological Madness blog including detailed analysis of severe weather across the US.

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