1. I think the severe weather maps explain it all. It's a gradual eastward shift of the storms this weekend with the impacts mainly being wind damage and hail. A tornado threat will be over Oklahoma today; then this weekend, it will be isolated along the front.
2. The ECMWF and GFS are now in agreement with the development of the tropical system late next week. My thinking is a minimal tropical storm that will come into the eastern Gulf Coast and eventually get stuck across the Southeast the week of June 10. Flooding will be the main impacts from such a system coming up. It may be a case of where rain never gets north of I-70 with that system.
A busy six days coming with severe weather once again.
Heavy thunderstorms will develop here and there across the country.
Widespread wind damage today with a few tornadoes mixed in as well.
While the tropics become quiet, the severe weather will continue for at least the next two weeks or more.
Hurricane Arthur to go over the Outerbanks. Beaches in the Northeast get over-washed during high tides. Severe storms today with flash flooding.
Arthur coming up the coast as a hurricane. Impacts in the form of wind, heavy rains and coastal flooding all the way to Maine.