1. I think the severe weather maps explain it all. It's a gradual eastward shift of the storms this weekend with the impacts mainly being wind damage and hail. A tornado threat will be over Oklahoma today; then this weekend, it will be isolated along the front.
2. The ECMWF and GFS are now in agreement with the development of the tropical system late next week. My thinking is a minimal tropical storm that will come into the eastern Gulf Coast and eventually get stuck across the Southeast the week of June 10. Flooding will be the main impacts from such a system coming up. It may be a case of where rain never gets north of I-70 with that system.
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Texas style storms today with a threat of tornadoes
The storms that develop will produce damaging winds and hail this week.
The next two weeks will be nasty with severe weather and tornadoes.