The big story will be the severe weather developing Friday and spreading northeast and east Saturday. If you notice on the map, I pulled the trigger on the severity of the storms Saturday thinking that the left front quad of the jet, high dew point and sufficient shear will be in place for damaging winds and tornadoes across the Midwest. The models are impressive in regards to the severe weather parameters coming together for a significant outbreak of severe weather Saturday.
Storms should initially develop along the dry line in western Kansas to western Texas Friday then spread northeast. The dynamics on Saturday will be the big driver in the development of supercell storms with the potential for moderate size tornadoes across Iowa and Missouri. If the storms hold together, they could spread into Illinois during the night.
Also below is a gif image of the snowfall for years with a neutral ENSO with a cold PDO/warm AMO. Interesting to see the Northeast seems to be the snowy area during these years.
The band of heavy rains should end tonight, allowing drier weather to move in.
Heavy rains associated with the upper-level low will hit the Carolinas into Virginia. Some areas could get over a foot of rain by Monday!
The heavy rains are still coming and someone is going to have up to a foot of rain and flooding.
Major problems the end of the week and weekend as another round of flooding rains occur and Joaquin could impact the mid-Atlantic.
The Northeast will be the center for flooding rains through the weekend. Joaquin could bring troubles late in the weekend.
A stormy week for the Eastern part of the country. Heavy rains will be the main issue.