The big story will be the severe weather developing Friday and spreading northeast and east Saturday. If you notice on the map, I pulled the trigger on the severity of the storms Saturday thinking that the left front quad of the jet, high dew point and sufficient shear will be in place for damaging winds and tornadoes across the Midwest. The models are impressive in regards to the severe weather parameters coming together for a significant outbreak of severe weather Saturday.
Storms should initially develop along the dry line in western Kansas to western Texas Friday then spread northeast. The dynamics on Saturday will be the big driver in the development of supercell storms with the potential for moderate size tornadoes across Iowa and Missouri. If the storms hold together, they could spread into Illinois during the night.
Also below is a gif image of the snowfall for years with a neutral ENSO with a cold PDO/warm AMO. Interesting to see the Northeast seems to be the snowy area during these years.
We may see the tropics get active and produce a storm next week. We could see a storm approaching the US Gulf Coast by the Labor day weekend.
The pattern will bring heavy thunderstorms today and Wednesday. Video reviews the areas where the storms will hit.
No widespread severe weather just a few across the Midwest today.
The pattern is going to switch from the trough in the East to a trough in the West. That means warmth!
Trough in the East for now, but come changes are on the way for next week.
Heavy rains of up to 6 inches will hit New England today. Flooding will occur.