1. The clipper currently coming through will have an enhanced area of snow as it crosses Ohio into northern West Virginia, northern Maryland to south Jersey. That area may receive over 3 inches of snow late today into Tuesday morning.
2. There are a couple more clippers that have to come on through this week before the pattern starts to change this weekend and next week.
3. The pattern change is coming while the NAO and PNA are both neutral which is not what one would like to see for a big East Coast storm. The models have been going back and forth on the storm around Feb. 14, in fact, they are not that reliable right now. One run they show a storm cranking into the Great Lakes and another they show the storm hugging the coast. I think what we will see is the cold weather relaxing, a storm that does cut to the Great Lakes and another one that goes through the southern stream next week. The question will be just how much snow will come with the second system next week, and that I am not sure about just yet.
Heavy rains associated with the upper-level low will hit the Carolinas into Virginia. Some areas could get over a foot of rain by Monday!
The heavy rains are still coming and someone is going to have up to a foot of rain and flooding.
Major problems the end of the week and weekend as another round of flooding rains occur and Joaquin could impact the mid-Atlantic.
The Northeast will be the center for flooding rains through the weekend. Joaquin could bring troubles late in the weekend.
A stormy week for the Eastern part of the country. Heavy rains will be the main issue.
Stormy along the East coast this weekend and perhaps in the Gulf of Mexico late in the weekend and early next week.