Henry Margusity

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Monday's Storm and the Storm Wednesday

February 2, 2014; 10:19 AM ET

Commentary

The storms this week into next are all part of the pattern that I have been outlining since last week. While the extreme cold has backed off, the contrast between the warming South and still frigid northern Plains and the positive NAO and negative PNA will lead to some big storms and big snows. The storm Monday is just another example of the pattern we are in. The warmth across the South and Carolinas will lead to some big snows Monday from West Virginia/Kentucky into New Jersey and southern New England. We will see some snow amounts over a foot, especially from West Virginia into southeast Pennsylvania.

The storm Wednesday is an interesting one. One low center will go up west of the mountains and a secondary center will develop along the coast. The front end of the storm will be loaded with heavy precipitation in the form of snow and ice. The back side will have snow with a band across the Midwest, Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. Pennsylvania into New York will get some heavy snow amounts before the changeover to sleet and ice occurs.

The storm on the 9th is being shown to run along coast on all the operational models. With the NAO still positive, I think we will see a low center going up west of the mountains again with a secondary low bombing out near New Jersey. This puts southeastern New York and New England in the risk for a major snowstorm. We will have plenty of time to look at that storm.

The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com

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Henry Margusity
AccuWeather.com severe weather expert, Henry Margusity, offers the Meteorological Madness blog including detailed analysis of severe weather across the US.