The storms this week into next are all part of the pattern that I have been outlining since last week. While the extreme cold has backed off, the contrast between the warming South and still frigid northern Plains and the positive NAO and negative PNA will lead to some big storms and big snows. The storm Monday is just another example of the pattern we are in. The warmth across the South and Carolinas will lead to some big snows Monday from West Virginia/Kentucky into New Jersey and southern New England. We will see some snow amounts over a foot, especially from West Virginia into southeast Pennsylvania.
The storm Wednesday is an interesting one. One low center will go up west of the mountains and a secondary center will develop along the coast. The front end of the storm will be loaded with heavy precipitation in the form of snow and ice. The back side will have snow with a band across the Midwest, Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. Pennsylvania into New York will get some heavy snow amounts before the changeover to sleet and ice occurs.
The storm on the 9th is being shown to run along coast on all the operational models. With the NAO still positive, I think we will see a low center going up west of the mountains again with a secondary low bombing out near New Jersey. This puts southeastern New York and New England in the risk for a major snowstorm. We will have plenty of time to look at that storm.
The High Plains will remain active with severe storms today.
A cold front moving across the Northeast will produce severe storms. The High Plains will also have severe storms and maybe tornadoes.
The bulk of the severe storms will stay on the High Plains today and Tuesday.
Severe weather will hit the Upper Midwest and southern Canada. It could be a tornado day!
Another big day for severe weather. Damaging winds and even a few tornadoes possible today.
Two major days of severe weather. First day in the Ohio Valley and the second day in West Virginia and Virginia.