What is left of Chantal is moving through the Bahamas. I think that the bulk of the moisture will end up in the Carolinas by this weekend. I still think that there is a 20% chance that Chantal will redevelop once north of the Bahamas east of central Florida. The impacts from Chantal into the Carolinas and Virginia is to enhance thunderstorms and flash flooding.
I though originally that parts of the Northeast would get a break into the storms and humidity, but now it appears the upper-level low that comes in backs way to the southwest which allows the humidity to flow freely across areas that may have a reduction in humidity today and Friday. The wet pattern just does not wan to end.
Looking ahead to winter... the seasonal models are really having a field day with the outcome. Some say cold winter in the East and others say warm winter. Lots of fun coming trying to figure out the winter forecast this year.
We are seeing the SOI values crashing again as the El Nino continues to pulse. Weather should get active again next week.
The El Nino has crashed again which means extreme weather should return soon. Check out the video.
The winds will be damaging across the northern Plains today. Expect gusts over 60 mph!
The week will start stormy for the Northern Plains with severe weather followed by high winds.
Next week will start of with severe weather and will end with a tropical threat aong the East coasty.
We may see tornadoes across the northern Plains during the next 10 days.