Henry Margusity

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Moisture From Chantal Heading to the Carolinas; 20% chance of Redevelopment

July 11, 2013; 10:29 AM ET


What is left of Chantal is moving through the Bahamas. I think that the bulk of the moisture will end up in the Carolinas by this weekend. I still think that there is a 20% chance that Chantal will redevelop once north of the Bahamas east of central Florida. The impacts from Chantal into the Carolinas and Virginia is to enhance thunderstorms and flash flooding.

I though originally that parts of the Northeast would get a break into the storms and humidity, but now it appears the upper-level low that comes in backs way to the southwest which allows the humidity to flow freely across areas that may have a reduction in humidity today and Friday. The wet pattern just does not wan to end.

Looking ahead to winter... the seasonal models are really having a field day with the outcome. Some say cold winter in the East and others say warm winter. Lots of fun coming trying to figure out the winter forecast this year.

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Henry Margusity
AccuWeather.com severe weather expert, Henry Margusity, offers the Meteorological Madness blog including detailed analysis of severe weather across the US.