I posted the latest NHC combo model of the potential paths of the tropical system. They went west with the system, but I don't think that changes the outcome much that heavy rains go across northern Florida and along the Southeast coast and eventually out to sea. This will put the I-95 corridor north of Richmond out of the heavy rain area. However, a secondary area of heavy rain may develop in the Appalachians. That is where the tropical moisture will hit up against the front and cause some training thunderstorms Friday into early Saturday.
Severe weather will hit the High Plains again today and Wednesday. I don't see a threat of tornadoes Wednesday because the lack of a good low-level jet and a weak upper-level jet. We may see a few tornadoes in western Oklahoma this evening where the low-level jet is aimed. Otherwise, the main impacts will be locally heavy rains, large hail and high winds.
Models remain out of sorts on the storm next week. There will be one with some snow.
Severe weather to start the day... Icy weather tonight... Next week's storm. A lot going on.
Changes are coming but slowly. A little ice Thursday night into Friday morning.
Ice for parts of Texas to Mississippi...Solution on storm next week seems to be out there again.
Snow will wind down this evening but not after giving over 6 inches to many places.
A major snowstorm will hit the Midwest into southern New England while severe storms hit the southern Mississippi valley.