Ernesto will head into the Yucatan and eventually move into the southern Gulf of Mexico, but probably as just a blob of rain. Ernesto should go in as a hurricane and produce widespread flooding across Belize, northern Guatemala, and the Mexican Yucatan. Rain amounts of 5-20 inches will occur as Ernesto hits Tuesday into Wednesday.
Florence is dead this morning but may try to come back to life. I don't see Flo as a big issue this week;, in fact, it may be just a low-level circulation for much of the week.
The trough that is coming into the East at the end of the week, I think means business in regards to severe storms and perhaps flash flooding. The ground is getting wet from the Carolinas to southern New England and any additional storms could cause flash flooding. A trough like this coming in can cause locally heavy rains because you are dropping the heights over a warm and muggy air mass. The map shows the area of concern for severe weather.
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Storm is coming up the coast but will only skirt New England. Heat follows into the East.
Florida gets drenched and the same storm skirts New England
The same storm that produces severe weather will produce a major storm this weekend.
The stormy weather pattern today will turn into a chilly blocking pattern this weekend.