With the PNA going back to negative and the NAO going negative, we are going into a two-week warming pattern starting this weekend. Looking at the long-range models, it would seem that the cold will once again come back the last week of January into February.
While we have a good snow cover across the country east of the Rockies, we are probably going to lose a lot of the snow cover over the next two weeks.
I am having trouble trying to find any significant snow event for the next two weeks. The GFS suggests that we may have big storm in the Plains around the 12th, but given the ups and downs of the models lately, I am not relying on that just yet.
So for now, it's January thaw weather coming for a couple of weeks before winter sets back in.
Parts of the East will see heavy rains with some flooding possible. Another storm will bring severe weather back to the Plains this weekend.
Florida will be hit by severe storms. An upper-level low will move into the mid-Atlantic and produces locally heavy rains.
A cold front passing through the Southeast will produce strong storms today. An upper-level low may bring heavy rains and flooding to parts of the mid-Atlantic later this week.
Storms in the mid-Atlantic can be severe today. Pattern changes to a cooler one later this week.
A stormy time across the southern Plains today into Saturday. Flooding rains will be the main issue during the period.
Storms will be severe in the southern mid-Atlantic and in the Southern Plains. Tornadoes possible in the Plains Friday.