Henry Margusity

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Isaac Probably Going East of Florida

August 22, 2012; 9:58 AM

Commentary

I don't have any changes in the current thinking on Isaac. I think it will go up east of Florida and probably go in as a hurricane somewhere north of Charleston, S.C. The storm is looking big and healthy on the satellite image, and that may mean the storm could become a hurricane very quickly and may go up to a Category 2 very quickly as well.

The Euro continues to take a slower approach and takes it into the Gulf of Mexico. That's probably a 20% chance of happening at this point.

My concerns for major flooding remain for the Carolinas. Even if Isaac hits the South Carolina coast, it may get drawn into the Carolinas and sit around there for a time before heading back out to sea or into the Northeast.

A lot is on the table with this storm.

The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com

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Henry Margusity
AccuWeather.com severe weather expert, Henry Margusity, offers the Meteorological Madness blog including detailed analysis of severe weather across the US.