1. The severe weather today and Tuesday will be just heavy thunderstorms as shown on the maps. The main impacts will be heavy rains and locally damaging wind gusts.
2. Wednesday through Thursday becomes interesting in the Midwest, Ohio Valley into the mid-Atlantic. The upper-level system over California this morning will come up and over the ridge this week. By late Wednesday, a cluster of storms will develop in the Midwest and as the low-level jet blows hot air into the system, we should see a cluster of thunderstorms moving across the Ohio Valley. Thursday, that same system will cross the Appalachians and produce a swath of heavy rains and severe storms from West Virginia to Delaware. It's hard to predict if the cluster of storms actually becomes a derecho or not, but in any case, we will see flash flooding and wind damage. I am concerned for flash flooding across southern Pennsylvania and Maryland where heavy rains are falling this morning. So all in all, an interesting system this week.
More rainfall for the Plains but the pattern is going to change over the weekend. Should dry out some.
This will be an active day for severe weather with storms in the East and High Plains.
Heavy storms today across western Texas and the Ohio Valley. Video, I talk about how the pattern is going to change
The weather will be severe across the Plains this weekend as thunderstorms with hail, damaging winds, tornadoes and flooding rains develop.
Severe storms will develop across the eastern Carolina's today. Active severe weather pattern in the Plains this weekend.
Pattern continues to produce storms across Texas and the High Plains into the Holiday weekend. Eastern Carolina's get hit Thursday.