A Couple of Comments
1. The inflow of warm, humid air will hit the front from Oklahoma to Kentucky. Within that area as shown on the map, storms may contain damaging wind gusts and large hail. With the air getting cold aloft, hail may be the bigger factor.
2. Models are still not in good agreement on the moisture from Miriam into Texas. Euro is much wetter while the GFS has backed off. Our thinking is that low-level center from Miriam goes out to the Pacific while the moisture streams off to the northeast into Texas.
Temperatures will be swinging around but the warmth will end up winning.
Heavy storms will hit parts of New Mexico and western Texas.
Heavy storms will hit parts of New Mexico with heavy rains and gusty winds.
The band of heavy rains should end tonight, allowing drier weather to move in.
Heavy rains associated with the upper-level low will hit the Carolinas into Virginia. Some areas could get over a foot of rain by Monday!
The heavy rains are still coming and someone is going to have up to a foot of rain and flooding.