A Couple of Comments
1. The inflow of warm, humid air will hit the front from Oklahoma to Kentucky. Within that area as shown on the map, storms may contain damaging wind gusts and large hail. With the air getting cold aloft, hail may be the bigger factor.
2. Models are still not in good agreement on the moisture from Miriam into Texas. Euro is much wetter while the GFS has backed off. Our thinking is that low-level center from Miriam goes out to the Pacific while the moisture streams off to the northeast into Texas.
We are going into a five- to seven-day period of severe weather which will include tornadoes. We could see over 100 reports of tornadoes.
Latest map on the severe weather areas this weekend into Monday. Monday could be the big day.
Marginal severe weather the rest of the week, but the weekend could turn ugly in the Plains as the tornadoes return.
Tornadoes remain low but that may change this weekend.
More severe weather today into Saturday in the form of hail and damaging winds.
Storms will produce hail and strong winds today and Friday. Maybe a tornado or two in Texas.