The focus of the nasty weather today will be in Colorado and the Texas Panhandle where the front is dropping south along the Front Range and the upper-level low is coming out of the southwest. The two will combine to produce rains and heavy storms across southern Colorado into New Mexico and northern Texas. Some places will pick up 1-3 inches of rain, perhaps more which can cause flash flooding problems. The southern upslope areas of Colorado are most vulnerable to the flash flooding.
Eventually, the front will become stalled across central Texas, and it would appear they have the opportunity for a few days of rain and thunderstorms.
The front itself will come east and only produce showers and a few thunderstorms because the air mass is rather dry.
Next week, the NAO goes very negative so one should start watching for a lot of rain across the eastern part of the country, especially the Northeast and mid-Atlantic.
Severe storms will develop across the eastern Carolina's today. Active severe weather pattern in the Plains this weekend.
Pattern continues to produce storms across Texas and the High Plains into the Holiday weekend. Eastern Carolina's get hit Thursday.
High Plains get hit again with heavy rains, severe storms and even snow. The weather should calm down later tomorrow.
Severe weather coverage will be less this week but still active across western Texas.
The pattern has not changed much and that means the severe weather will hit the Plains this weekend.
Flooding could be serious in Texas as storms produce intense rainfall. Severe storms will return to the Plains later this week.