The image below shows total rainfall through next Friday. I wanted to show you this because notice that Kansas is in the bulls-eye for heavy rains. Also notice the East Coast is also in an area of excessive rains that next seven days. In the video, I go into an explanation of the why I think we have to watch the flooding threat in the East as the trough becomes established in the Midwest. That opens a corridor of tropical moisture and potential tropical systems to come up the East coast and aggravate the flooding issues. I also notice that the operational models are going toward a more active tropics around Aug. 15 which goes with the prediction that the end of August is when we need to watch for a flooding threat.
In Kansas, the heavy rains on the way, but we also need to watch for a flood threat there as well in the short term.
Erika will have many issues this weekend includng tracking over the islands with big mountains.
Erika will track into the Bahamas and may intensify early next week. Track could bring it close to the U.S.
Erika's path and intensity over the next five days is the concern of the day.
We continue to watch the tropics as now we have a new storm.
The weather this week across the country will be calm, but we still have Danny out there lurking later this week.
Active day of severe weather across the Upper Midwest Satruday afternoon.