The image below shows total rainfall through next Friday. I wanted to show you this because notice that Kansas is in the bulls-eye for heavy rains. Also notice the East Coast is also in an area of excessive rains that next seven days. In the video, I go into an explanation of the why I think we have to watch the flooding threat in the East as the trough becomes established in the Midwest. That opens a corridor of tropical moisture and potential tropical systems to come up the East coast and aggravate the flooding issues. I also notice that the operational models are going toward a more active tropics around Aug. 15 which goes with the prediction that the end of August is when we need to watch for a flooding threat.
In Kansas, the heavy rains on the way, but we also need to watch for a flood threat there as well in the short term.
An upper low will dive into the Ohio Valley producing an area of heavy rain.
A front settles down into Texas and causes heavy rains.
Severe storms over the High Plains. Video looks at the tropical issues coming up.
Tropics may produce storms that could impact the U.S.
The heavy storms return to the Midwest, some with hail and heavy rains.
Two tropical systems will impact the U.S. with heavy rains.