The images below are from the NMM model showing the simulated radar for Tuesday and the total rainfall through Wed morning. As you can see, we have a squall line shown clearly on the simulated radar from NY to Virginia. It's going to be one of those thin lines of storms with heavy rains and gusty winds, but very little lightning. When the line goes through winds will whip-up to over 40 mph and the rain will be intense.
I think given the recent dry weather, most areas should be able to handle the heavy rains. Flooding will be confined to urban flooding and small streams and creeks.
We are seeing the SOI values crashing again as the El Nino continues to pulse. Weather should get active again next week.
The El Nino has crashed again which means extreme weather should return soon. Check out the video.
The winds will be damaging across the northern Plains today. Expect gusts over 60 mph!
The week will start stormy for the Northern Plains with severe weather followed by high winds.
Next week will start of with severe weather and will end with a tropical threat aong the East coasty.
We may see tornadoes across the northern Plains during the next 10 days.