The images below are from the NMM model showing the simulated radar for Tuesday and the total rainfall through Wed morning. As you can see, we have a squall line shown clearly on the simulated radar from NY to Virginia. It's going to be one of those thin lines of storms with heavy rains and gusty winds, but very little lightning. When the line goes through winds will whip-up to over 40 mph and the rain will be intense.
I think given the recent dry weather, most areas should be able to handle the heavy rains. Flooding will be confined to urban flooding and small streams and creeks.
Heavy storms today across western Texas and the Ohio Valley. Video, I talk about how the pattern is going to change
The weather will be severe across the Plains this weekend as thunderstorms with hail, damaging winds, tornadoes and flooding rains develop.
Severe storms will develop across the eastern Carolina's today. Active severe weather pattern in the Plains this weekend.
Pattern continues to produce storms across Texas and the High Plains into the Holiday weekend. Eastern Carolina's get hit Thursday.
High Plains get hit again with heavy rains, severe storms and even snow. The weather should calm down later tomorrow.
Severe weather coverage will be less this week but still active across western Texas.