Henry Margusity

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Ernesto to Form, Could Go into the Gulf. Another Severe Weather Event

August 02, 2012; 7:00 AM

Commentary

The system in western Canada looks very healthy on the satellite image this morning and will move to the east-southeast over the next three days. Severe weather will develop in the northern Plains Friday and spread across the Great Lakes into the Northeast Saturday and Sunday as shown on the map. While the main impacts will be damaging wind gusts and hail, I can see tornadoes across Minnesota Friday, Wisconsin on Saturday and Ontario, western New York, perhaps northwestern Pennsylvania on Sunday.

T.D. 5 in the far Atlantic will struggle between a tropical depression and tropical storm the next three to five days as it moves into the Caribbean. Once in the western Caribbean, the system could wrap up fairly quickly into a hurricane. I do think that Ernesto will make it into the Gulf of Mexico in about a week or so, but uncertain as to whether it's a Texas storm or Mexico storm. Map shows my path of the storm.

The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com

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Henry Margusity
AccuWeather.com severe weather expert, Henry Margusity, offers the Meteorological Madness blog including detailed analysis of severe weather across the US.