Commentary
The system in western Canada looks very healthy on the satellite image this morning and will move to the east-southeast over the next three days. Severe weather will develop in the northern Plains Friday and spread across the Great Lakes into the Northeast Saturday and Sunday as shown on the map. While the main impacts will be damaging wind gusts and hail, I can see tornadoes across Minnesota Friday, Wisconsin on Saturday and Ontario, western New York, perhaps northwestern Pennsylvania on Sunday.
T.D. 5 in the far Atlantic will struggle between a tropical depression and tropical storm the next three to five days as it moves into the Caribbean. Once in the western Caribbean, the system could wrap up fairly quickly into a hurricane. I do think that Ernesto will make it into the Gulf of Mexico in about a week or so, but uncertain as to whether it's a Texas storm or Mexico storm. Map shows my path of the storm.


Storms will be in the Plains through the weekend, and some places may see strong winds and hail.
Severe weather today may feature damaging winds and tornadoes. Look pout Virginia and The Delmarva.
The outbreak of severe weather starts late today and lasts through tonight. Starts over again in the Mid-Atlantic Thursday afternoon.
Severe weather event Wednesday into Thursday could produce numerous tornadoes and wind damage reports.
Heavy storms today and Tuesday. A cluster of storms could bring some nasty weather later Wednesday through Thursday.
Andrea continues to move north up the coast with heavy rains and tornadoes.
Henry Margusity
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