No much has changed with Ernesto. Still heading into the Yucatan as a strong tropical storm. Flooding will be the main impact of the storm as it crosses the Yucatan. Some places may have over a foot of rain over the next couple of days.
I am impressed with the trough coming into the eastern part of the country Thursday and Friday. That trough will be produced severe storms as well as flooding rain. I'm not sure where the heaviest rains will fall just yet, but with parts of the mid-Atlantic into southern New England wet now, flash flooding can surely occur. This is not a river flood situation, only a small stream and urban flooding event in some locations.
The impacts storms will be mainly damaging wind gusts and hail. In the wake, a few waterspouts may occur over lakes Erie and Ontario.
Severe storms and snow mark the Memorial Day weekend.
Severe storms will hit the Northeast and western Texas today. Tornadoes could occur in Texas.
Severe weather for the Ohio Valley and Northeast today.
One more day of tornadoes, some which can be large and devastating.
Tornadoes could be worse today given the jet coming out into the Plains.
We are going into a five- to seven-day period of severe weather which will include tornadoes. We could see over 100 reports of tornadoes.