So we are once again faced with the ECMWF vs. GFS for a storm within the 10-day time period. The ECMWF looks a little out there this morning, but what really bothers me is the difference between the weeklies and the operational run on the ECMWF. Week two of the weeklies has warmth over the eastern part of the country, but the operational model for the same week as a trough which would imply cold weather. In addition, the NAO is not going negative and the typhoon is not recurving, so there is a lot of indications that the ECMWF run is just wrong. However, sometimes the ECMWF hits a home run and it's possible the model is actually on to something. The implications of the ECMWF run would be snow across the mid-Atlantic for that time period.
Severe weather will highlight the weather pattern through early next week. An unusual chilly airmass coming into the Great Lakes.
A busy six days coming with severe weather once again.
Heavy thunderstorms will develop here and there across the country.
Widespread wind damage today with a few tornadoes mixed in as well.
While the tropics become quiet, the severe weather will continue for at least the next two weeks or more.
Hurricane Arthur to go over the Outerbanks. Beaches in the Northeast get over-washed during high tides. Severe storms today with flash flooding.