Henry Margusity

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Denver Snowstorm this Weekend. New England Gets Bombed

March 08, 2013; 12:03 PM


1. The storm across eastern New England is just amazing as snow will total over 18 inches in places. Remember this time last week, the storm was suppose to go off the Southeast coast. Now we have another major snowstorm for New England and snow that went from the Dakotas to the western suburbs of D.C. and Baltimore. You have to love blocking patterns because they lead to storms like this.

I did notice a lot of model bashing going on and I think the problems I see are 1. too many models and 2. too many people relying on the models for the answer and not the guidance. In the old days when we had the LFM and NGM, we all knew the strengths and weaknesses of the models so we were able to adjust for those. You can beat the models in the overall pattern, but the details of the storms are where the confusion sets in due to the differences in the number of models. I am not sure what the solution is anymore, other than watching the weather and adjusting for changes.

2. Ok, on to the next storm. Denver should get 6-12 inches of snow in a situation where the upper-level low rolls under them. That typically leads to big snow events in Denver when you can upslope through a deeper layer of the atmosphere.

3. Severe weather I think is going to be marginal due to the lack of rich moisture, so for now it's hail and wind damage event.

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Henry Margusity
AccuWeather.com severe weather expert, Henry Margusity, offers the Meteorological Madness blog including detailed analysis of severe weather across the US.