The GFS model has been quite odd the last couple of days dealing with the trough next week. I like the Euro model in regards to the strength of the trough. I do think the GFS is way too strong on the trough coming into the East. While the longer term beyond next Friday in regards to the severe weather remains uncertain, what we do know is that the trough will dig into the West, and that will set up a southwest flow across thr southern Plains. We should see dry line supercell thunderstorms develop across western Texas into western Kansas Sunday into Tuesday. After that, the trough moves into the Plains, and we see widespread severe weather developing from Kansas and Oklahoma to Missouri and Illinois. I do think the tornado threat will increase next week as the Gulf opens and the flow of heat and humidity heads north once again. We could be looking at another 25-100 tornado weather pattern.
A cold and wintry weather pattern setting up prior to the Holidays.
Cold air spreads out across much of the country and leads to a battle ground of snow and ice in the East.
Lake snows will be heavy in some of the traditional NW flow locations.
Storm will bring a lot of wild weather the next 24 hours.
A storm will bring wintry weather and severe weather as well. Not the best prior to Thanksgiving.