I don't have any major changes to the forecast nest week for severe weather. I just think the GFS is probably overdone on the trough in the Southwest by Thursday and that we will see more of a trough coming into the Plains. It seems the GFS tends to try and split the troughs coming through the West. The Euro does that same thing by developing a closed low off California and Baja, which looks overdone as well.
In any case, the heat will be on across the Plains, and the heat will try to come north into the lower Great Lakes and Northeast, but it will be a battle to get the warm air into these areas depending again on how the trough configuration works itself out next week.
Upper-level storm will bring heavy rains to the mid-Atlantic.
An upper low will dive into the Ohio Valley producing an area of heavy rain.
A front settles down into Texas and causes heavy rains.
Severe storms over the High Plains. Video looks at the tropical issues coming up.
Tropics may produce storms that could impact the U.S.
The heavy storms return to the Midwest, some with hail and heavy rains.